From Congress to coalition? 2017 result vs mood of voters

The high-octane state assembly elections as set to begin in Punjab from February 20. The stage is set for a dramatic shift in the balance of power with the recent turmoil in ranks appearing to cost Congress heavily. Factors like anti-incumbency, the high-profile party exit of former CM Amarinder Singh and turmoil under the leadership of CM Charanjit Singh Channi and state party president Navjot Singh Sidhu, are likely to result in a massive dip in vote share as well as seat share. Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is projected to make huge gains from 24 in 2017 to 36-39 this time, as per the Zee News-DesignBoxed opinion poll of 1 lakh 5 thousand respondents from the 117 constituencies across Punjab’s three regions Majha, Doab and Malwa.

For the CM face in Punjab, it looks to be a race between Congress’ Charanjit Singh Channi and AAP’s Bhagwant Mann

Here’s a table of comparisons of vote share and seats won from 2017 assembly polls in Punjab and the projections from the opinion polls. 

How Punjab voted in 2017?

Vote Share (in percent):

Seat Share (out of 117):

Vote Share (in percent):

Seat Share (out of 117):