‘Go for gold’: Why Goldman Sachs believes gold has the ‘highest potential’ for a near-term price hike

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Gold price outlook: Goldman Sachs predicts that gold is more than likely to expertise a price enhance in the close to future attributable to its recognition as a threat hedge. The financial institution believes that upcoming US Federal Reserve charge cuts will entice Western capital again into the gold market, which has been largely absent throughout the sharp rally in gold costs over the previous two years.
According to a Reuters report, Goldman has adjusted its gold price goal to $2,700 by early 2025, barely later than its earlier forecast of end-2024, citing the price sensitivity of the Chinese market.
Spot gold has surged 21% to this point this yr, setting successive data and reaching a historic excessive of $2,531.60 per ounce on August 20.
However, the financial institution has taken a extra cautious strategy to different commodities, notably oil, because it anticipates a smaller deficit this summer time and a barely larger-than-expected surplus in 2025.
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Goldman just lately decreased its common 2025 Brent forecast and price vary by $5 per barrel, attributing this adjustment to weak demand from China. The financial institution additionally expects a downward pattern in international gasoline costs, as an anticipated enhance in international liquefied pure gasoline provide capability is anticipated to drive European pure gasoline costs (TTF) decrease.
Regarding copper, Goldman has postponed its end-2024 goal of $12,000 per metric ton to past 2025. The financial institution now forecasts a mean copper price of $10,100 per ton in 2025, considerably decrease than its earlier estimate of $15,000.
This revision is because of the expectation that refined copper manufacturing will stay excessive regardless of mine provide points in key copper-producing international locations. The financial institution has additionally maintained a much less optimistic outlook for different industrial metals, delaying its earlier year-end goal of $2,600 per ton for aluminum to end-2025 and decreasing its 2025 forecast to $2,540.
Additionally, Goldman has determined to droop its protection of zinc for the time being and maintains a bearish view on nickel.